Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.155462 0.171973 0.188838 0.207311 0.226937 0.247126 0.269424
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.136187 0.159208 0.183538 0.211034 0.241115 0.272898 0.308893
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.120133 0.147671 0.177675 0.212513 0.251575 0.293761 0.342503
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.107577 0.138632 0.173435 0.214839 0.262277 0.314479 0.375820
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.095580 0.129086 0.167685 0.214682 0.269619 0.331118 0.404480
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087936 0.123944 0.166466 0.219298 0.282129 0.353487 0.439680
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.079665 0.117309 0.162884 0.220654 0.290513 0.370949 0.469256
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.072066 0.110866 0.159011 0.221225 0.297652 0.386783 0.496902
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.064674 0.104074 0.154198 0.220216 0.302569 0.399798 0.521159
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.059195 0.099366 0.151662 0.221741 0.310361 0.416123 0.549313
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.056223 0.097826 0.153043 0.228097 0.324066 0.439590 0.586109
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.051513 0.093461 0.150392 0.229028 0.330825 0.454541 0.612667
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047878 0.090537 0.149702 0.232690 0.341379 0.474649 0.646210
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043937 0.086835 0.147705 0.234449 0.349410 0.491638 0.676043
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.039808 0.082494 0.144543 0.234431 0.355011 0.505543 0.702119
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.036467 0.079100 0.142505 0.235770 0.362274 0.521502 0.730776
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.032795 0.074836 0.138942 0.234795 0.366340 0.533339 0.754299
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030836 0.073260 0.139227 0.239110 0.377408 0.554116 0.789092
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.028225 0.070320 0.137280 0.240132 0.383977 0.569101 0.816639
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.025676 0.067244 0.134938 0.240441 0.389483 0.582675 0.842418
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.023011 0.063680 0.131623 0.239167 0.392703 0.593210 0.864320
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021138 0.061428 0.130247 0.240629 0.399626 0.608564 0.892408
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.020402 0.061338 0.132333 0.247228 0.413715 0.633405 0.932786